Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 2.237139 2.679520 3.175650 3.771678 4.466580 5.249410 6.196260
2025-12-21 1.594175 2.152599 2.846787 3.766543 4.945659 6.398292 8.314032
2025-12-28 1.289265 1.919862 2.771630 3.991074 5.673892 7.893313 11.016360
2026-01-04 1.049500 1.702156 2.649237 4.097441 6.223015 9.188482 13.587554
2026-01-11 0.893612 1.562557 2.595933 4.268272 6.854777 10.637632 16.500757
2026-01-18 0.740680 1.390777 2.455774 4.272348 7.220093 11.719750 18.974177
2026-01-25 0.595810 1.199509 2.246457 4.124612 7.314249 12.382793 20.859882
2026-02-01 0.481976 1.037752 2.055500 3.970420 7.364002 12.961287 22.644111
2026-02-08 0.410786 0.940585 1.959935 3.961885 7.646892 13.928163 25.120819
2026-02-15 0.354363 0.860661 1.881690 3.969604 7.951489 14.949022 27.762840
2026-02-22 0.302000 0.777881 1.783272 3.922287 8.144677 15.786648 30.151846
2026-03-01 0.245885 0.674045 1.623972 3.730167 8.038523 16.075321 31.591697
2026-03-08 0.210723 0.612709 1.546455 3.697805 8.245506 16.966879 34.219631
2026-03-15 0.182194 0.561322 1.482281 3.684410 8.488501 17.947867 37.097206
2026-03-22 0.171728 0.555039 1.521040 3.901871 9.230121 19.946888 42.046636
2026-03-29 0.155803 0.529984 1.510470 4.005267 9.739716 21.531394 46.318371
2026-04-05 0.144826 0.516612 1.526524 4.172380 10.403861 23.477039 51.437482
2026-04-12 0.127714 0.480458 1.477768 4.176293 10.703860 24.701291 55.207252
2026-04-19 0.107161 0.427774 1.375283 4.031532 10.646789 25.173152 57.481985
2026-04-26 0.089599 0.379808 1.276463 3.880475 10.555271 25.558781 59.599765
2026-05-03 0.079056 0.353314 1.234246 3.872112 10.803664 26.699310 63.382301
2026-05-10 0.070292 0.330811 1.199763 3.879673 11.091269 27.947887 67.481595
2026-05-17 0.061289 0.304591 1.148765 3.833322 11.237197 28.886330 70.968940